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NFL 2024 SUPER BOWL - PICK ATS

Gary Porpora

2024 CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIPS =  1 - 1  2024 OVERALL. =  156 - 122 - 5 .561

2023 PLAYOFF RECORD = 6 - 6

WEEKLY O/U  =  1 - 1     O/U CUMULATIVE  =  84 - 56  .600

WEEKLY SPECIALS  =  0 - 1   CUMULATIVE  =  60 - 35 - 3  .632

GAME OF THE WEEK    9 – 112       LOCK OF THE WEEK   13 – 5 - 2

UPSET SPECIAL     10– 8 - 1              O/U OF THE WEEK   14 - 6

STEELERS  14 - 4  PREMIUM PICKS CUMULATIVE  =  144 - 91 - 3  .613


THE SUPER BOWL


When: Sunday, February 9th at 6:30 pm ET

Where: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana

Channel: FOX

Moneyline: Chiefs -130, Eagles +110

Spread: Chiefs -1.5 (-110), Eagles +1.5 (-110)

Total: Over 49.5 (-110), Under 49.5 (-110)


Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles


After two weeks of hype, analysis, handicapping, and smack-talking, Super Bowl Sunday is predictably anti-climactic. That's okay--it's still the biggest game of in American sport at any time of year.


In terms of worldwide audience, wagering, prestige, though, Americans can't boast the yearly NFL spectacle comes close to the final of the World Cup of soccer--the "real" football.


According to FIFA, the 2022 World Cup Final between Argentina and France reached an average live audience of 571 million viewers across the globe, with more than 1.4 billion people watching at least one minute of the 120-minute thriller live. The 2024 Super Bowl pales in comparison, despite reaching new viewing records both domestically and internationally. According to Nielsen, Super Bowl LVIII drew an average audience of 123.7 million viewers in the U.S. plus a total international audience of 62.5 million.


But to this NFL fan, no game in any team sport comes close to what the Super Bowl means to American culture and history--and today the Kansas City Chiefs have a chance to make some history--if they can become the first NFL team, since the merger, to three-peat.


A win makes KCHC Andy Reid an NFL coach Mount Rushmore candidate equal to any of his peers. IMHO, Coach Reid deserves to be attain that summit win or lose, and has earned the right to be in the GOAT discussion.


In his 26 years as a head coach for 420 games Reid is five time conference champion with three rings


RS = 273-146 - 1 .651

PS = 28 - 16 .636


During his 12 year tenure in KC, Coach Reid has a .720 winning percentage, including playoffs, and has won less than 10 games once, when he won just 9 in 2014.


That's Rushmore material no matter what happens today.


HISTORY


Here is some perspective on how tough it is to three-peat in the NFL--since the merger:


1999 Broncos: went 6-10 and missed the playoffs entirely

1994 Cowboys: went 12-4 and lost in the NFC Championship game

1990 49ers: went 14-2 and lost in the NFC Championship game

1980 Steelers: went 9-7 and missed the playoffs entirely

1976 Steelers: went 11-3 and lost in the AFC Championship game

1974 Dolphins: went 11-3 and lost in the Divisional Round


(***Please Note*** I will never give Bellichick/Brady and the Cheating Patriots the respect of including them in any list or discussion when historical achievements are at issue. They cheated to gain a competitive advantage--they get no respect***)


THE GAME


It didn't take long during my annual postseason dive through the late Gil Brandt's playoff breakdown to get the clear picture:


  • The statistical advantage clearly belongs to the Eagles, they are better in the trenches and are the NFL's best defense and pass defense---#1 or #2 in every meaningful statistic.


  • Their rushing game led by a great offensive line is top two in the league--and their rush defense is nearly as good...


  • Their turnover numbers are significantly better than the Arrowheads...


  • KC is better converting third down, but Philly boasts a significant third down defense and RZ scoring percentage advantage on both sides of the ball...


  • All the Chiefs have in this lopsided equation are Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and a better kicking game and special teams...


Unfortunately, for the Bald Birds, that last item nearly un-lopsides the whole equation...The Chiefs 12-0 record in one score games evens it out completely...


THE CALL


We think Philly has the right tools to dismantle the one-score mystique and, too many times this year we've watched Maholmes roll to his right and throw short over the middle to the point where it has evolved into a tendency. I'm betting the Eagles secondary saw that tape too. Pick Six?


Saquon and company will keep Mahomes off the field. Hurts will have a new RPO package to show Steve Spagnulo's defense, and Philly will win by five.


We're calling the Under...


Eagles. 27

Chiefs 22








 
 
 

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